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July 15th 2022  7:05PM

Red Sox Vs. Yankees

MLB
Pick: Over 8
Risk: $750 (3U)

             Through the duration of their four game series in Boston, the Yankees and the Red Sox combined to score 56 runs (14 per game).  Today they are once again in a great position to deliver a high scoring performance.  Nathan Eovaldi will start for the Red Sox on the mound in his first game in over a month.  On the surface his numbers look good with a 3.16, however his xERA is a 4.30 signaling that luck has been a huge factor in keeping his numbers solid.  Through five starts in the month of May, Eovaldi surrendered 9 home runs, giving up at least one in every game.  He demonstrated his ability to struggle against good lineups on May 17th, allowing 8 hits, 9 runs, and 5 home runs against the Astros through just 1.2 innings. Today he is in for his tallest task of the season, taking on a Yankees lineup that ranks 1st in runs per 9 (5.24), 1st in OPS (.768), and 1st in home runs per game (1.68). In his lone start against the Yankees this season, he allowed 5 hits and 3 runs through 5 innings, and was lucky to just allow 3 runs as he surrendered 2 home runs.  For the Yankees, Jordan Montgomery will take the mound.   He has also benefited from luck this season posting a 3.19 ERA while holding an xERA of 4.11. Through two starts against this Red Sox lineup this season he has surrendered 9 hits, 5 runs, and a home run through just 8 innings.  The Red Sox have had success against left handed pitching this season recording a .267 batting average and scoring 5.44 runs per 9 against lefties, both higher than their overall averages.  In the Yankees last 4 games against teams with winning records, the over is 4-0.  When Montgomery starts in games with a set total between 7-8.5, the over is 4-0. In the Red Sox and the Yankees last 4 meetings, the over is 4-0.  Today all those trends should continue through an offensive explosion in the Bronx. 


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Red Sox Vs. Yankees
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